Thursday, August 25, 2011

Gold: Setting the Record Straight



“We had a bubble in gold fueled by exasperation and the inability to make money in stocks. Investors were hit by all the bubble sales pitches that suggested gold was a ‘can’t-lose proposition.’” — Brian Dolan, chief currency strategist for Gain Capital, in a March 1, 2009, Chicago Tribune article that was unfortunately headlined, “Gold gains unlikely to pan out for long.”


Don’t you just hate it when gold goes over $1,000, falls to nearly $700, and then soars past $1,800? Clearly, this gold bubble will pop once the Federal Reserve announces that the economic recovery has been a grand success and it can now raise interest rates. But when’s that going to happen?



“Gold is worth what you think it’s worth. It’s very difficult to value. There are no cash flows, so it has no intrinsic value. There is very little commercial use for it. It’s more of a trading vehicle.” — Bill Stone, chief investment strategist, PNC Wealth Management, in an Oct.9, 2010, New York Times article.


Yes, that’s why they say gold is morphing into a currency while other currencies are morphing into stuff you haul around in wheelbarrows.



“Attempting to project or capitalize on price movements in gold is speculation, not investing.” — Steve Condon, director of investor advisory services for Truepoint Capital, in Cincinnati, in an Oct. 12, 2009, Associated Press article.


Got that? Buying gold is speculation. Buying paper, now that’s investing.



“Too many naive investors got involved in gold. They must be taken out and given a right good caning.” — Dennis Gartman, a trader and publisher of the Gartman Letter investment newsletter, in a Dec. 8, 2009, Chicago Tribune article about “Newbie gold investors.”



I would like to see them caned as well...for making way too much money from the folly of the Fed.


“It will move up, but the music always stops,” — Quincy Krosby, market strategist for Prudential Financial, in a Dec. 29, 2009, article by the Associated Press.


As we learned with the S&P downgrade, the music stops for a lot of investments. And when it does, it’s nice to own gold.



“Our bottom line is this: Gold is a bubble now, and it is too late to get in. It is like someone who bought real estate in 2006, at the height of that bubble. You could get hurt really badly.” — Kimberly Sterling, Orlando, Fla. financial planner, in an April 2010 story by the Orlando Sentinel.


You know what else hurts? Not owning gold when it hits yet another new high.



“Don’t put your money on a simple rock. … It is ‘fear metal’ — you buy it when you are afraid of every other investment.” — James Altucher, managing director of Formula Capital, in a July 12, 2010, blog post on The Wall Street Journal’s website, wsj.com.


Hey, at least it’s a pretty rock. And the people are fearful. Very, very fearful.


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